The Arab League leads Syria’s problem resolution after its readmission. Assad’s attendance in the Arab conference shows that he has support, even if no real actions have been made.
“The problem of Arabs must remain among themselves” might benefit Assad. Maintaining Syrian territorial integrity, withdrawing external forces, fighting drugs, returning refugees, and security challenges are complicated and need mutual agreements.
Arab States will need time to rebuild relations with Syria and reopen diplomatic channels. The Arab summit in Jeddah showed a will to change relations, but radical problem-solving and discussion need time.
The covert plan for Moscow’s quadripartite summit relies on the US exit and AANES’ territories under Damascus Government control. The deal also calls for the extradition of some former Turkish officers to Damascus, which is considered as a realistic step toward reestablishing Turkish-Syrian ties. The media stated that several officers had already been extradited.
The Syrian problem involves Iran, Russia, America, and Turkey
Turkey’s policies under Hakan Vidan may encompass anything. As Foreign Minister, he will repeat his “Launch a number of missiles into Turkey from there and start war” statement. Hakan Fidan has intelligence links to Syria and will focus more on Syria.
Syria has set “withdrawal of its troops and cessation of mercenary support” as a precondition for the presidents’ meeting, but it’s unclear if it would comply. They want to fill the foreign policy gap by installing a Turkish Intelligence Service (M) expert as foreign minister to create unexpected Syria situations.
Since Turkey’s Kurdish extermination plans haven’t changed save for military alternatives, Kurdish interest in Syria may grow. All alternatives are anti-Kurdish. AANES would not benefit from a new plan for Turkey-Syria ties, which may include early normalization steps.
They haven’t implicated AANES in Syria’s conflicts, suggesting they’ll seek a solution without Kurds. After the Turkish elections, foreign policy changed on the Syrian subject, which will clarify AANES positions.
US presence hampers Turkish solution prospects. Naturally, forces change as interests shift, thus AANES must prepare for the worst.
Any outcome in Rojava or Bakur Kurdistan (Northern Kurdistan) might affect the remainder of the Syrian conflict and the policy of dominating nations.
AANES’s future will be shaped by the Kurdish crisis in Turkey and Syria.Thus, AANES and the people must prepare for any diplomatic, political, and military events.
